Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders's 2020 presidential run will look vastly different from his charmed 2016 campaign, which soared on the energy of young people and marked the arrival of an ascendant left wing of the Democratic Party. This time around, Sanders enters the crowded Democratic fray as a top contender. While lesser-known candidates scrap for media coverage and money, Sanders will be awash in both. The self-described democratic socialist raised more than $4 million in the hours after his announcement on Tuesday and his entrance received top billing in the political press. Soon after he launched his 2016 campaign, Sanders admitted he was a long shot to become president. Now, Sanders is expressing confidence on his 2020 run. "We're going to win." - Sanders He will be able to rely on an enthusiastic base of supporters and can take credit for the Democratic Party's embrace of the issues he brought to the forefront in 2016, such as "Medicare for all" and tuition-free education at public universities. The Memo: Sanders's White House quest sharpens "socialist" question The Hill: Betting against Bernie? Dems assess risk. But even some of Sanders's most enthusiastic backers are warning about how difficult the path to the nomination will be in 2020. The obstacles > This time around, Sanders isn't just running against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Democrats have a buffet of new options, including several with progressive appeal, such as Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Kamala Harris (D-Calif.), Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.), and potentially Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio). The Progressive Change Campaign Committee is already backing Warren. The liberal group Democracy for America backed Sanders in 2016 but is not committing to a candidate yet for 2020. "Blessed with a diverse field of candidates committed to inclusive populist reforms, we're looking forward to seeing how Sanders and the movement behind him makes the case for 'political revolution' in a very different 2020 contest." —- DFA Executive Director Yvette Simpson Liberal activist Jonathan Tasini, who supported Sanders in 2016, said that with most Democrats "singing from Bernie's policy playbook," it will be harder for him to stand out, even if he's the one who wrote the tunes. "Whether, as some of my hard-core Bernie friends say, the carriers of the policy message are pretenders or not reliable is a fair point but may not matter in the back-and-forth of a campaign. The 'brand' could get muddled and co-opted." —- Tasini While some 2016 Sanders backers are keeping their powder dry, the senator did pick up home state endorsements from Sen. Patrick Leahy and Rep. Peter Welch. Leahy endorsed Clinton in 2016 while Welch backed Sanders back then. > It could be difficult for Sanders to expand his reach beyond the progressive wing of the party. He has steadfastly refused to join the Democratic Party and many mainstream Democrats remain bitter at Sanders, believing he lingered in the 2016 primary for too long and damaged Clinton's general election prospects. > Recent history tells us that runners-up can struggle the next time around. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum (R) made an unlikely run at Sen. Mitt Romney (Utah) in the 2012 GOP nominating contest, electrifying conservative voters in search of an alternative. By 2016, those same voters had moved on to the next big thing —- President Trump, neurosurgeon Ben Carson, and Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), among them. Santorum failed to make an impact on the race. > Sanders is 77 years old and a straight white male. Those are all marks against him in a contest where many Democrats are eager to nominate a woman or someone from a minority group. The Vermont senator notably failed to connect with African-American voters in 2016, helping Clinton to close the deal on the nomination. > It's tough to be a front-runner or top contender. Sanders benefitted in 2016 by coming out of nowhere. Clinton absorbed intense scrutiny, while much of the coverage around Sanders focused on the insurgent element of his campaign. This time around, Sanders is already having to answer tough questions about allegations of sexual harassment by his former campaign officials. John Nichols: The U.S. might be ready to elect a Democratic Socialist. David Von Drehle: Sanders's moment has come and gone. © Getty Images
More from campaigns and politics … Former first lady Michelle Obama would be tied with former Vice President Joe Biden as frontrunner if she ran in 2020, poll finds (The Hill) … Maryland's Republican Gov. Larry Hogan, who has been mentioned as a potential primary challenger to Trump, says the president's reelection bid looks "pretty weak" (CBS News). |
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