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Biden adds to his lead in Nevada: |
| Via The Nevada Independent’s Jon Ralston, Nevada just released a new batch of votes showing Joe Biden’s lead increasing to 11,458. https://bit.ly/2TYYzo4 Details: A batch of votes in Clark County gave Biden a lead over 12,042 votes. But shortly after, votes trickled in from a rural area, helping Trump by around 300 votes. https://bit.ly/2I7h4UU Biden’s lead before this noon batch of votes: Around 7,000 https://bit.ly/2Gwzfmd The raw vote gain for both Trump and Biden: “- Joe Biden: +9,101 votes - Donald Trump: +4,706 votes” (Via The Nevada Independent’s Megan Messerly) https://bit.ly/3l2Kthl For context, from Ralston: “Only about 14K votes or so updated from Clark and Biden lead goes up by almost 5K. See the advantage Dems have with mail. If that is ratio for ballots in Clark, very bad news for Trump.” https://bit.ly/2TYYzo4 What percent of votes are reporting: Still at 87 percent, according to CNN’s Dan Merica. https://bit.ly/3eGgx8t |
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| WHERE THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE STANDS | |
Turns out, this is a much more effective — and high stakes — way to learn American geography: |
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© Getty Images ^I will never forget that Phoenix, Ariz., is in Maricopa County, Atlanta, Ga., is in Fulton County and Las Vegas, Nev., is in Clark County. The gist of where the race stands: Votes are still being counted in five key battlegrounds. President Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania and Georgia is shrinking as ballots continue to the counted, but Joe Biden’s lead in Arizona also appears to be shrinking. Biden has a very slight lead in Nevada. Trump is leading North Carolina, but it will depend on mail-in ballots. I highly suggest you read this — what’s going on in each of the final states: The New York Times’s Nate Cohn published an update this morning on each of the key states. https://nyti.ms/3p2YmOL The Electoral College vote count: Biden has 253 votes. Trump has 214. 71 Electoral College votes are remaining. That means Biden needs an additional 17 Electoral College votes to win, while Trump needs 56. The remaining states: Pennsylvania (20), Georgia (16), North Carolina (15), Arizona (11), Nevada (6) and Alaska (3). Though you might as well give those three Alaska votes to Trump. The possible scenarios left: Biden has 27 ways to win, Trump has 4 ways to win and there is one scenario of a 269-269 tie. The graphic: https://bit.ly/2JIxvaR 
© Twitter |
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| It’s Thursday — how is everyone’s blood pressure?? I’m Cate Martel with a quick recap of the morning and what’s coming up. Send comments, story ideas and events for our radar to cmartel@thehill.com — and follow along on Twitter @CateMartel and Facebook. Did someone forward this to you? Want your own copy? Sign up here to receive The Hill's 12:30 Report in your inbox daily: http://bit.ly/2kjMNnn |
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| SOME CONTEXT |
| If you’re wondering specifically why some news outlets have called Arizona and others have not: Bloomberg’s Gregory Korte has a good explainer: https://bloom.bg/3exHIlM This is a good point about worst-case scenarios: Journalist Jonathan Nicholson pointed out, “Considering what the Worst Case Scenarios were, Election Day wasn't half bad. * no massive cyberhacking * no last-minute deepfake video/audio to create chaos * no violence or even partisan linestanding tussles at polls * orderly, if long, count” https://bit.ly/2HXCYtR A Latino reporter gives some context to the Florida results: The New York Times’s Patricia Mazzei explains the Florida electorate. The thread of tweets: https://bit.ly/367R7fR Republicans had a very good night in state legislatures: https://bit.ly/3kWnFQa ELECTION WINNERS: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) House Republicans The pollsters who stood out from the crowd Lawyers ELECTION LOSERS: Most pollsters Democratic congressional leaders Democratic donors National unity Explanations for each from The Hill’s Niall Stanage: https://bit.ly/3mSipxy |
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Lots of all-caps messages from Trump’s official Twitter account: |
| At 9:12 a.m. EST: “STOP THE COUNT!” https://bit.ly/3oWNnqa At 10:09 a.m. EST: “ANY VOTE THAT CAME IN AFTER ELECTION DAY WILL NOT BE COUNTED!” https://bit.ly/38iNrur |
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You will hear from our lawyers: |
| Via The Hill’s Morgan Chalfant, “President Trump’s campaign is taking a series of steps to challenge the election results or halt the vote tabulation process in a number of states as the incumbent’s path to reelection narrows.” https://bit.ly/38cEKlh The states Trump is targeting: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Georgia. |
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| HOW THE TRUMP CAMPAIGN REACTED WHEN FOX NEWS CALLED ARIZONA FOR BIDEN: |
| Via The New York Times’s Annie Karni and Maggie Haberman: https://nyti.ms/38e3JVr |
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What Biden has been tweeting: |
| At 8:25 a.m. EST: “Every vote must be counted.” The short video attached: https://bit.ly/3euWCJj At 10:10 p.m. EST yesterday: “Donald Trump does not decide the outcome of this election and nor do I. The American people decide. That’s why we’ve launched the Biden Fight Fund — to ensure every vote is counted.” Biden’s full fundraising message: https://bit.ly/32jsVWW |
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| SIGHTS AND SOUNDS AS VOTES ARE COUNTED |
| The scene in Philadelphia outside where the votes are counted: https://bit.ly/2TVURLR This is getting pretty tense: 
© Twitter Watch: https://bit.ly/34XbsVV Ugh: “Maricopa County Sheriff’s deputies now ready in tactical gear inside the elections center to potentially make a move on the protesters and demonstrators outside as the crowd continues to grow.” Watch: https://bit.ly/38ryarx Screenshot of the actual lawsuit the Trump campaign filed in Michigan: https://bit.ly/3jU9LNe “Stop the count” protests: “Election challengers shout ‘Stop the count’ as poll workers count absentee ballots in #Detroit, Michigan in the 2020 general election” (Video from The Washington Post’s Salwan Georges) Watch: https://bit.ly/34XGVqQ Also getting traction — with nearly 11 million views: 
© Twitter Watch: https://bit.ly/3jZHmFq Lol, I’ve been humming the NBC election music for months so I’m not one to talk: Journalist Lizzie O’Leary tweeted, “I just overheard my husband singing the Key Race Alert music to the baby.” https://bit.ly/352ietE |
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Cheri Bustos just won her reelection fight: |
| Via The Hill’s Juliegrace Brufke, “Rep. Cheri Bustos (D-Ill.), the head of House Democrats’ campaign arm, is projected to win reelection after a competitive challenge from Republican Esther Joy King in the battle for Illinois’s 17th District.” https://bit.ly/2HYPg5e When The Associated Press called the race: At 10:15 a.m. EST. |
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Who else is worried about Congress’s laundry list for the rest of the year?: |
| Via The Hill’s Jordain Carney, “Uncertainty is hanging over the congressional year-end agenda as Washington waits to see who will win the White House and Senate majority and tries to gauge President Trump’s willingness to cut big deals if he loses.” https://bit.ly/38eL5wP What’s on the list: - A coronavirus relief package - A government funding bill by Dec. 11 to avoid a shutdown - A fight over Confederate-named bases |
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| THE FEELING IN THE SENATE: |
| Via The Hill’s Alexander Bolton, Senate Democrats are feeling frustrated in the fight for control of the Senate, while Republicans are jubilant. https://bit.ly/3euYUrT |
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| CENTRIST DEMS TALK HOUSE LEADERSHIP CHANGE: |
| https://bit.ly/2JFaBkx |
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Shaking up what it means to be red and blue: |
| Via The Hill’s Reid Wilson, “Voters delivered a decidedly mixed result up and down the ballot on Tuesday in closely fought battles for the White House and House and Senate seats in critical suburban precincts across the country. The results … will illustrate the deep and abiding political divide that has riven the nation.” https://bit.ly/2U9vNkN The divide that is being more apparent: The divide “breaks along partisan lines that are increasingly defined by race, education and socioeconomic status in a realignment that is still shaking out.” Five House races that show the future of coalitions: Minnesota’s 7th District, Oregon’s 4th District, Wisconsin’s 3rd District, Nebraska’s 1st District and Georgia’s 7th District Why those five — explanations for each: https://bit.ly/2U9vNkN |
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| MEANWHILE WITH THE CORONAVIRUS | |
| Coronavirus cases in the U.S.: 9,499,459 U.S. death toll: 233,836 Breakdown of the numbers: https://cnn.it/2UAgW3y |
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Hey coronavirus, READ THE ROOM.: |
| Via CNN’s Christina Maxouris, “The US recorded a staggering 102,831 new Covid-19 infections Wednesday -- the first time since the start of the pandemic it has reported a six-figure number.” https://cnn.it/3l00Ta4 |
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Lol — It’s pretty impressive: |
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© Twitter |
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It’s been a long week: |
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© Twitter Watch: https://bit.ly/36mQ9N9 |
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| The House and Senate are out. President Trump has no public events scheduled. Vice President Pence has no public events scheduled. |
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| This morning: Georgia officials gave an update on the ballot count. Livestream: https://cs.pn/38gAkdo 11:30 a.m. EST: The Trump campaign gave an update from Las Vegas. Livestream: https://cs.pn/36btvH8 12:15 p.m. EDT: Pennsylvania officials give an update on the election count. Livestream: https://cs.pn/32hwQmT |
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| NOW FOR THE FUN STUFF...: | |
| Today is National Doughnut Day! You better believe I’m celebrating this one. |
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| And to make you smile during this never-ending week, here’s a puppy who is best friends with a rooster: https://bit.ly/362DpLg |
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