 Campaign Report |
Campaign Report |
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What we learned in last night's primaries |
Some nail-biter primary races were decided this week in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota and South Carolina. They tested former President Trump's endorsement power and exposed the GOP old guard's influence. But do they mean much heading into November? |
They may have flown a little under-the-radar nationally, but Tuesday's elections provided some clues to where Republicans and Democrats stand heading into the November elections. And all arrows point to former President Trump's strong grip on the GOP. Trump-backed candidate former Army Capt. Sam Brown coasted to a win in Nevada's GOP Senate primary to face Sen. Jacky Rosen (D) this fall. The win came after the GOP fight took a dramatic MAGA-fied turn this week when Trump snubbed dermatologist Jeffrey Gunter, who served as the former president's ambassador to Iceland. Gunter insinuated the endorsement was part of a pay-to-play scheme from Trump's "handlers." Trump's team and National Republicans denied the accusation and deemed Gunter a candidate who couldn't win in the general. Across the country in South Carolina, incumbent Rep. Nancy Mace (R) fended off a challenger backed by former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.). Mace, one of the eight GOP House members who successfully voted to take the leadership post from McCarthy last year, defeated challenger Catherine Templeton, 57 percent to 30 percent. A special election for a ruby-red Congressional seat in Ohio was unexpectedly close, but Republicans pulled off a win in the end with Michael Rulli (R) coming out ahead of Michael Kripchak (D) in a 54 to 45 percent outcome. Kripchak's stronger-than-expected showing has been seen as a potential preview of Democratic turnout in swing states. The Hill's Jared Gans has more on the election night results. |
Welcome to The Hill's Campaign Report, I'm Liz Crisp. Each week we track the key stories you need to know to stay ahead of the 2024 election and who will set the agenda in Washington. |
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Key election stories and other recent campaign coverage: |
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Democrats are split over the continued pro-Palestinian protests that rocked college campuses across the country, a new poll shows, possibly previewing a generational divide on the issue heading into the November election. The Politico-Morning Consult poll found 26 percent of Democratic respondents said they think student protesters are “in the right and doing the right thing,” while 48 percent said they are in the … |
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Rep. Troy Nehls (R-Texas) called former Speaker Paul Ryan (R) a "piece of garbage" after Ryan called former President Trump "unfit for office" and vowed not to vote for him in November, in an interview earlier Tuesday. "Paul Ryan, you’re a piece of garbage. You’re a piece of garbage. And we should kick you out of the party. For Paul Ryan to say he’s not voting for Donald Trump — that’s the problem with … |
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| Former President Trump has a two-in-three chance of winning the White House in November, according to The Economist's election forecast model launched Wednesday. The model predicts Trump has a 66-in-100 chances of winning, while President Biden has a 33-in-100 chance of winning. The results are similar to a forecast model from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill released late last month. In that model’s most … |
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Upcoming news themes and events we're watching: |
- 15 days until the first presidential debate
- 33 days until the Republican National Convention
- 68 days until the Democratic National Convention
- 146 days until the 2024 general election
- 222 days until Inauguration Day 2025
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Branch out with a different read from The Hill: |
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Only a third of voters are confident that Vice President Harris would win an election if she were the Democratic presidential nominee, according to a new survey. A Politico/Morning Consult poll, conducted in late May and released Wednesday, found that 14 percent of voters said it was very likely Harris would win an election and 20 percent said somewhat likely she would win if she were the Democratic nominee. In the same poll, … |
Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) took a swipe at Republican Senate candidate Sam Brown for his stance on abortion, arguing in a new campaign ad the retired Army captain would eliminate constituents’ reproductive rights if put in office. The 30-second ad, titled “Valerie,” features a Nevada woman who said she could not receive the necessary medical care to terminate a pregnancy while living in Texas due to the state’s … |
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Local and state headlines regarding campaigns and elections: |
- Why Aren't More People Running For Office In Hawaii? (Honolulu Civil Beat)
- Marist poll suggests Ohio voters may be considering splitting their ticket in November (Ohio Capital Journal)
- Florida abortion amendment raises $12 million in two months since making ballot (Tampa Bay Times)
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Election news we've flagged from other outlets: |
- Real Housewives Creator: Put Ginni Thomas and Mrs. Alito on TV (The Daily Beast)
- Donald Trump Jr. moves to be MAGA's new kingmaker (Axios)
- As Former President Trump's VP choice is awaited with bated breath, what ever happened to Mike Pence? (USA Today)
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Key stories on The Hill right now: |
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Former President Carter is “experiencing the world as best he can,” while he is no longer awake every day in hospice care, his grandson revealed in an interview late last week. Jason Carter, the oldest of the Carter grandchildren, spoke to Southern Living magazine about his grandfather’s condition as he approaches his … Read more |
| Tensions in Rudy Giuliani's bankruptcy case are coming to a head, with his creditors hoping for the drastic remedy of having a third party take control of the former New York City mayor's finances. Since Giuliani filed for bankruptcy protection, spurred by a $148 million defamation verdict, his creditors have accused him of hiding … Read more |
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Opinions related to campaigns and elections submitted to The Hill: |
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You're all caught up. See you next time! |
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