A lot can change in 24 hours.
That was Wednesday's lesson for Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.), who had on Tuesday night unveiled a sprawling, 1,500-page stopgap bill to fund the government ahead of a Friday deadline.
Barely 24 hours later, Johnson is pivoting to plan B, axing his original plan in favor of a slimmed-down, "clean" funding patch.
What happened?
House conservatives had always taken issue with Johnson's original measure, which included more than $100 billion in additional funding for, among other things, disaster aid and the farm bill reauthorization. The spending hawks balked at what they considered an overstuffed package. But with Democratic and moderate Republican support, Johnson and his leadership team saw a shot at bringing the legislation up for an immediate floor vote on Wednesday, bypassing the Rules Committee with a two-thirds majority in the lower chamber.
Then Elon Musk chimed in. The tech billionaire Trump loyalist, who's leading a cost-cutting project under the incoming president, came out against the stopgap on social media, writing on social platform X that any lawmaker "who votes for this outrageous spending bill deserves to be voted out in 2 years!"
Hours later, President-elect Trump and Vice President-elect Vance joined Musk in his criticism. In a joint statement, Trump and Vance slammed the bipartisan bill and called for a "streamlined" spending stopgap combined with an increase in the debt ceiling — effectively torpedoing the measure.
"Increasing the debt ceiling is not great but we'd rather do it on Biden's watch. If Democrats won't cooperate on the debt ceiling now, what makes anyone think they would do it in June during our administration?" the two said in a statement. "Let's have this debate now. And we should pass a streamlined spending bill that doesn't give [Senate Majority Leader] Chuck Schumer [D-N.Y.] and the Democrats everything they want."
Trump then called for any Republican lawmaker who backs the funding patch without including an increase to the debt limit to face a primary challenge.
Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) — the top GOP appropriator — said Wednesday evening she was taken aback by Trump's demand that the stopgap legislation be used to increase the debt ceiling, an issue that was not expected to be dealt with until the summer.
"I don't know his rationale," she said.
So, what happens now?
Johnson called off votes in the House early Wednesday evening, heading back to the drawing board.
Democrats' pushback was fierce. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) suggested Wednesday that his party will oppose any federal spending bill that strays from the original measure, accusing GOP leaders of reneging on the agreement and risking a shutdown. Jeffries invoked the growing conservative outcry over the negotiated bill and warned Republicans that they will "own" the economic and political fallout if a shutdown occurs.
"An agreement is an agreement," Jeffries told reporters. "House Republicans have been ordered to shut down the government and hurt everyday Americans all across this country. House Republicans will now own any harm that is visited upon the American people that results from a government shutdown or worse."
The White House on Wednesday also blasted Trump and Republicans for sinking the deal, saying in a statement that "Republicans need to stop playing politics with this bipartisan agreement or they will hurt hardworking Americans and create instability across the country."
Johnson is expected to put forward a draft for a clean spending agreement today, but its future in the House and Senate remains unclear. If lawmakers can't reach an agreement by Friday at midnight, they will trigger a shutdown.
▪ The Hill: Musk's aggressive push against a stopgap measure to prevent a government shutdown received mixed reactions from House Republicans, even though it ended with a measure of success.
▪ NOTUS: Musk is trying to force Congress into doing what he wants.
▪ The Hill: The Senate is plowing forward with consideration of the Social Security Fairness Act, clearing its first procedural hurdle on what supporters hope is a path to passage later this week.
Looking toward the new year, Johnson's spending hurdles don't bode well for his quest to retain the gavel in January. Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) on Wednesday became the first Republican to publicly say he won't back Johnson's bid. In the new Congress, Johnson's House majority will become even thinner — meaning one GOP vote against him could be enough to end his Speakership.
That's tough math for Johnson, especially with a Republican conference proving time and again that they are willing to challenge leadership and threaten to oust them.
This time around, Johnson's potential defectors are not limited to the usual hard-line conservative antagonists. Rep. Greg Steube (R-Fla.) told The Hill's Emily Brooks and Mychael Schnell he is undecided on his support for Johnson, before tearing into the Speaker's leadership — especially on government funding matters.
"He committed to the conference a year ago that we weren't gonna govern by [stopgap bills] anymore and we've done five," Steube said. "And 43 days after we get a mandate from the American people, we're gonna work with Democrats to do stuff, when a Republican Senate comes in in two weeks?"
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