From Jon Reinish, a Democratic strategist and former aid to Sen. Kirsten Gilibrand: "I think Shapiro lifts Fetterman to a slim victory and Cortez Masto pulls it off, but barely. Georgia, I think, goes to a runoff."
From Matt Gorman, a Republican strategist and former NRCC communications director: "I'm watching CT-05 very closely. George Logan. I think he can knock off Jahana Hayes. Another thing I'm watching tonight is the LA Mayor's race. Caruso vs Karen Bass. The margin in NC will tell me a lot. 730 polls close."
From Miles Coleman, associate editor at Sabato's Crystal Ball: I guess this is sort of a prediction, but I'm interested to see how much my idea of Virginia as an early House bellwether holds up.
Rs beat Luria = bare minimum type of seat they'd need for a majority
Rs beat Spanberger = they likely have a gain of 25 or more seats
Rs beat Wexton = Rs have their biggest majority since WW2
Something I'm watching is the ticket-splitting in the Philadelphia collar counties. In 2016, Pat Toomey fared much better than Trump there, and it was key to his reelection. The collar counties will probably go heavily for Shapiro, but Fetterman may not be as great a fit for the area -- maybe that gives Oz a win?"
From Michael Ceraso, a Democratic strategist and alum of Sen. Bernie Sanders and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg's presidential campaigns: "I'm tired of the cynicism. Regardless of the election results, and there are pathways for us to win, it's time for the Democratic Party to localize its strategies for greater success.
What does that look like? That means hire local year round and empower state consultants instead of national consultants and scrap the electoral organizing model that Obama Campaigns popularized.That means filtering national themes into local issues and end the era of anti-Trump focused campaigning for addressing local solutions through federal support. That means stop running away from conservative outlets and their commentary on the economy to score online support with fringe members of the party - these outlets have a pulse on the rural electorate, many who are Black and Brown voters. Oh, and the party needs more television ads that instill hope and progress and concrete solutions than nasty rhetoric about their opponents. It won't work right away but it's one way to offset the online vitriol that informs many of the strategies we deploy as a party."
From a national Republican strategist: "In Pennsylavnia at least, there will be a good story in that Josh Shapiro will win most likely and that will be a good thing for them because he'll be along with Wes Moore in Maryland and others, kind of a future star in the party. Otherwise, it's going to be a pretty grim night for Democrats in Pennsylvania."
You can read more pundit predictions and analysis here.
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