 Views & Opinions |
Views & Opinions |
|
|
National polling has altered little over the last 18 months, writes pollster and consultant Douglas Schoen. Only an "October Surprise" could provide a decisive shift in either candidate's favor. |
Andrew Harnik and Kyle Mazza, Getty Images |
Little has changed because both President Biden and former President Trump are so widely known by the public – and because the country is so polarized. Schoen believes the most likely surprise would come in the realm of foreign affairs. "For Biden, this might be the only way he can change a situation where he leads in only one of the 13 most recent major polls." But such a development could either help (such as if the war between Israel and Hamas ends) or hurt (if a second front opens up in Lebanon) Biden. "If there is a major geopolitical crisis, Biden will play an outsized role. If he rises to the occasion, it will do more to address concerns over his fitness than virtually any press conference or campaign rally ever could. "Conversely, if Americans feel that Biden's perceived weakness led to increased geopolitical chaos, it may be the nail in his campaign's coffin." An October Surprise is not guaranteed to happen, of course, but the "power of incumbents to shape perceptions of themselves in the closing months of a campaign cannot be ignored." Read the op-ed at TheHill.com. |
Welcome to The Hill's Views & Opinions newsletter, it's Tuesday, July 16. I'm Daniel Allott, bringing together a collection of key opinion pieces published from a wide range of voices. |
|
|
Op-eds exploring key issues affecting the U.S. and world: |
|
|
By Jonathan Turley, Shapiro Professor of Public Interest Law at George Washington University |
The assassination attempt of former President Donald Trump left a nation stunned. But the most shocking aspect was that it was not nearly as surprising as it should have been. For months, politicians, the press and pundits have escalated reckless rhetoric in this campaign on both sides. |
| |
|
By Dan Ariely, Duke University professor |
From my perspective as a social scientist, a law requiring the Ten Commandments to be hung over every classroom across the state is flawed for reasons that go beyond its constitutionality. I see it as a fundamentally ineffective mandate, because heaps of research say so. And did I mention it would be a waste of tax dollars? |
| |
|
By J.T. Young, former congressional staffer |
As party brass scramble to oust President Biden, America is witnessing an attempted coup by the elite's elite. Gone is any pretext that this is the "demos" or the people, governing. Today's Democratic Party is about the aristocracy ruling. |
| |
|
By Dennis Aftergut, former federal prosecutor |
It won't take long to find out; human behavior tends quickly to revert to the mean unless the mean has drastically shifted. We can keep open a wary eye, while leaving room for hope's eternal spring. |
| |
|
Opinions related to pivotal issues and figures in the news: |
|
|
You're all caught up. See you next time! |
Views expressed by contributors are theirs and not the opinion of The Hill. Interested in submitting an op-ed? Click here. |
1625 K Street NW, 9th Floor, Washington, DC 20006 |
Copyright © 1998 - 2024 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. |
|
|
|
If you believe this has been sent to you in error, please safely unsubscribe.
No comments:
Post a Comment