The 2020 election subversion cases are on life support — but they're not dead yet.
In recent months, several blows have been dealt to the remaining prosecutions against President Trump's allies and the so-called "fake electors" who signed documents falsely claiming he won their state's presidential race that year.
Now, the Democratic state attorneys general who brought the charges are barreling toward deadlines to make critical decisions about the future of the cases.
Their choices are to be made in an entirely new political climate than when the charges were initially brought, with Trump — a key figure in the alleged schemes, though in most cases, uncharged — now back in the White House. That could determine whether those involved ever see their day in court.
Let's take a walk down memory lane: You may recall that, after the 2020 election, not everyone was convinced that former President Biden, the Democratic nominee, had prevailed over Trump, the Republican nominee, especially in key battleground states.
Thus, was born the alternate electors scheme, which relied on former Vice President Pence to certify Trump-supporting electors in critical states instead of the true Electoral College votes cast for Biden. The states were Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, New Mexico and Pennsylvania.
Pence declined to do so on Jan. 6, 2021, and a mob of Trump's supporters stormed the Capitol.
Charges were ultimately brought in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin against various Trump allies and "fake electors" over the alleged plot to keep Trump in power, while New Mexico and Pennsylvania prosecutors found it didn't merit an indictment.
Here's where those cases stand now:
Arizona
Arizona Attorney General Kris Mayes (D) faces a decision of whether to press forward with her office's case or let it fizzle out.
Ex-White House chief of staff Mark Meadows, former Trump personal attorney Rudy Giuliani, campaign adviser Boris Epshteyn and more than a dozen others, including the alternate electors, are all defendants.
But a state judge in May ordered prosecutors to return the case to a grand jury, siding with the Republican defendants who argued that Mayes should have provided the panel that indicted them with details about a law explaining how to tally presidential electoral votes that is at the heart of their defense.
"A prosecutor has a duty to instruct the grand jury on all the law applicable to the facts of the case," Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Sam Myers wrote in his order.
Mayes appealed, but an Arizona Court of Appeals panel declined to review the case. She has an extension until Nov. 21 to file with the Arizona Supreme Court.
As we see it, she's left with these options: 1) Attempt to convince the Arizona Supreme Court to let her case move forward, as is, to trial. 2) Return to a grand jury and seek a new indictment. 3) Allow the charges to be dismissed.
Richie Taylor, a spokesperson for the office, declined to comment.
Michigan
Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel (D) faces a similar fork-in-the-road in her prosecution.
Last month, a state judge dismissed the charges faced by 15 pro-Trump electors after finding insufficient evidence to prove they acted with criminal intent.
Judge Kristen Simmons suggested the defendants were not "savvy or sophisticated enough" to fully understand the electoral process they were accused of manipulating to subvert Biden's election win.
Nessel is still weighing whether to appeal, her spokesperson, Danny Wimmer, told The Gavel.
The standard 21-day window to begin the appeal has passed. But prosecutors could seek permission to file a delayed application, which can be brought up to six months later.
"While we disagree with the district court's decision, we require more than 21 days to carefully consider whether to appeal," Wimmer said.
Wimmer added that the office has requested a transcript of the Sept. 9 hearing where Simmons explained her reasoning because the judge did not issue a written order. They have not yet received it.
That took the 21-day window off the table.
"Once we have the transcript of the district court's ruling, we will decide whether to file an application for leave challenging the district court's failure to bind over the false slate," he said.
June would mark six months from the ruling dismissing the case.
Georgia
In Georgia — the only remaining prosecution over efforts to subvert the 2020 election indicted Trump himself — any path forward would be even more complicated.
That's largely due to Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis's office (D) being disqualified over a "significant appearance of impropriety" stemming from her romantic relationship with a top prosecutor on the case.
The Georgia Supreme Court last month declined to take up her appeal, ending her bid to remain atop the case against the president, several allies and the state's alternate electors.
Now, Georgia's Prosecuting Attorneys' Council (PAC) faces the Herculean task of appointing a new prosecutor to take on the case. Judge Scott McAfee gave PAC until Nov. 14 to provide a name or see the charges dismissed.
Pete Skandalakis, the agency's executive director, told The Gavel on Monday that "as of today, a conflict prosecutor has not been appointed to the Trump case." He said he was not at liberty to comment further.
Nevada
A fight over venue has tied up Nevada's case against its six alternate electors for more than a year.
Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford (D) filed his original case in Democratic-leaning Clark County, home to Las Vegas.
But Judge Mary Kay Holthus determined that he chose the wrong venue, ruling that it should have been brought in Carson City, the state capital, where the sham ballots were cast in 2020.
Ford appealed that decision, which was heard by the Nevada Supreme Court in August. It has not yet issued a ruling on the matter.
The statute of limitations passed for one of the two charges, so it must be dropped if Ford loses.
But his office refiled the other charge in Carson City, which a person familiar with the case said was a protective measure to ensure it isn't also lost. If Ford wins, the case will return to Clark County, the person said.
On Monday, the six "fake electors" pleaded not guilty in Carson City, and a trial was set for July. A judge there ruled earlier this month that the case could proceed, calling it the "hardest call I've had to make in my career," according to local reports.
Wisconsin
Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul's (D) case against three Trump allies in Wisconsin appears to be more or less on track.
In August, a Wisconsin judge refused to dismiss charges that two former Trump attorneys and a former campaign aide schemed to submit false paperwork claiming Trump won the state in 2020.
The entire "fake electors" scheme allegedly originated in the state, according to ex-special counsel Jack Smith's office. That case crumbled when Trump won the 2024 election, fair and square.
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