Campaign Report — Are the GOP's chances of winning the Senate rising?

Welcome to The Hill's Campaign newsletter

View Online Campaign Report Campaign Report The Big Story  Are the GOP's chances of winning the Senate rising? Sen ate Republicans are seeing their chances of retaking the majority becoming a bit more possible as they grow the battlefield and go after vulnerable Democrats. © Greg Nash Just two years ago, infighting and former President Trump 's influence proved to be a ruinous mixture for midterm candidates. The GOP didn't meet some expectations in tight races, and Democrats grabbed a bigger majority in the upper chamber in 2023, though still narrow.    The Hill's Julia Mueller has more on why the GOP chances of winning the Senate are on the rise here.     News out of Maryland and Montana could shift things, though. Popular former Gov. Larry Hogan (R) eschewed encouragements to run for president and decided instead to run for Senate, taking on the state's Democratic roots. He's running to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Ben Cardin.    In Montana, Rep. Matt Rosendale ditched the GOP primary to give Republicans a chance to circle around businessman Tim Sheehy in an effort to unseat Democratic incumbent Sen. Jon Tester.    Trump decided to back Sheehy over Rosendale.    "I have long been a supporter of the President, and remain so. But I have been forced to calculate what my chances of success would be with Trump supporting my opponent. This race was already going to be tough, as I was fighting against Mitch McConnell and the rest of the Republican establishment in Washington," Rosendale said in a statement regarding his decision.  Welcome to The Hill's Campaign Report, I'm Liz Crisp. Each week we track the key stories you need to know to stay ahead of the 2024 election and who will set the agenda in Washington.  Did someone forward you this newsletter? Subscribe here. Essential Reads  Key election stories and other recent campaign coverage: Biden holds 4-point lead in hypothetical Trump rematch: Survey President Biden is holding on to his lead over former President Trump, the GOP front-runner, in new poll ahead of a potential rematch in November. In the Quinnipiac University poll, released Wednesday, 49 percent of registered voters said they support Biden, compared to 45 percent who chose Trump. The lead for Biden is slightly narrower compared to the 50 percent he received in the same poll in January, when Trump received …  Full Story 'Cheap politics as usual:' Biden campaign bashes Trump plans for mass deportations, detention camps  President Biden's reelection campaign is bashing former President Trump for his plans for handling the influx of migrants at the U.S. southern border, after a report that Trump is planning militarized mass deportations and detention camps if reelected. The Washington Post reported Wednesday that Trump, the likely GOP nominee, wanted to detain migrants on military bases and fly them on military planes in his first term and plans …  Full Story Meghan McCain rejects Kari Lake offer to meet amid public feud Meghan McCain, daughter of the late Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), rejected an offer Wednesday by Republican Arizona Senate candidate Kari Lake to meet amid a feud between the two. "NO PEACE, BITCH!" McCain said in a post on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, in response to a post earlier Wednesday by Lake inviting her to meet. In Lake's invitation post, she said she values McCain's "family” and “the passion …  Full Story The Countdown  Upcoming news themes and events we're watching: 3 days until the South Carolina Republican primary 13 days until Super Tuesday 258 days until the general election CPAC Begins   Party time: Conservatives head to Maryland   © The Associated Press The annual Conservative Political Action Conference, or CPAC for those in the know, is underway just outside D.C., and it's going to draw several conservative VIPs including former President Trump , the frontrunner for the GOP presidential nomination.    The gathering is taking place in National Harbor, Md., through Saturday.     The event is known for being a bit wild, but it draws a lot of big names. In addition to Trump, others heading to suburban D.C., include Sen. J.D. Vance (R-Ohio), Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.), South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem (R) and former United Kingdom Prime Minister Liz Truss.    From Trump talks to straw polls, The Hill's Julia Manchester has broken down the five key things to watch from the event here.  In Other News  Branch out with a different read from The Hill: Pence group announces $20 million effort to fight GOP's 'drift toward populism' Former Vice President Mike Pence's political advocacy group plans to invest $20 million this year to shape the conservative agenda, an effort to directly counter what Pence had previously described as populism "unmoored to conservative principles." Advancing American Freedom, which Pence launched in 2021, announced Wednesday the creation of the American Solutions Project, a three-prong effort to push more traditional conservative … Full Story Former GOP rival says Trump comparing legal troubles to Navalny is 'offensive' Former Republican presidential candidate Asa Hutchinson on Wednesday criticized former President Trump's "offensive" comparison of his legal troubles to Alexei Navalny's lifelong campaign for a free and democratic Russia. "Well, it’s offensive to me. And there should be common decency, first of all. A respect for Alexei Navalny, that gave his life for freedom and fighting against a dictator. There should be respect for … Full Story Around the Nation  Local and state headlines regarding campaigns and elections: DeSantis calls for end of 'abuse' of book challenges (Tampa Bay Times)   Michigan's 'uncommitted' effort aims to show Biden war in Gaza could cost him the election (Associated Press)  What We're Reading  Election news we've flagged from other outlets: Scoop: House Democrat floats Speaker Mike Johnson protection measure (Axios)  President Biden Fund-Raising Outpaces Trump, Whose Legal Bills Are Weighing Him Down (New York Times)  Letitia James Says She Won't Hesitate To Seize Trump's Assets If He Doesn't Pay Court Fine (HuffPost)  Elsewhere Today  Key stories on The Hill right now: Trump confirms names on VP shortlist: 'They're all good, they're all solid' Former President Trump confirmed a list of names floated to be on his vice presidential shortlist Tuesday during a town hall event in Greenville, S.C. Trump joined Fox News Channel's Laura Ingraham to discuss the Palmetto State's upcoming primary — which takes place Saturday. Ingraham asked the former president if the rumored names were … Read more Alabama health system pauses IVF treatments after court embryo ruling The University of Alabama at Birmingham health system is pausing all in vitro fertilization (IVF) treatments for fear of lawsuits and criminal prosecution following a recent ruling from the state supreme court.  A spokesperson said the health system is evaluating the first-of-its-kind decision that declared frozen embryos are … Read more What People Think  Opinions related to campaigns and elections submitted to The Hill: America is facing a threat of biblical proportion: The rise of Christian nationalism  A No Labels unity ticket could be catastrophic for American democracy  Today's hyper-partisan tribalism was our first president's worst nightmare   You're all caught up. See you next time!  Check out The Hill's Campaign page for the latest coverage. Like this newsletter? Take a moment to view our other topical products here 📩 Privacy Policy  |  Manage Subscriptions  |  Unsubscribe 1625 K Street NW, 9th Floor, Washington, DC 20006 Copyright © 1998 - 2024 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved.

If you believe this has been sent to you in error, please safely unsubscribe.