12:30 Report — ‘Pause’ vs. ‘cease-fire’ in Israel-Hamas debate; Disappointing October jobs report

View Online  12:30 REPORT Happy Friday! Don't forget that the clocks change on Sunday morning! 🕰️ The good news is that you gain hour of sleep on Sunday. The bad news is that it will get dark earlier in the evening. Here's what we're covering today:  President Biden and a group of Democratic senators are calling for a temporary pause to provide humanitarian support in Gaza. There has been lots of talk regarding pauses and cease-fires, so I included a brief explanation of the difference. The October jobs report was a bit disappointing. A dancing skeleton has taken over TikTok.   I'm Cate Martel with a quick recap of the morning and what's coming up. Send tips, commentary, feedback and cookie recipes to cmartel@thehill.com. Did someone forward this newsletter to you? Sign up here.   📊 News this Morning The U.S. added 150k jobs in October. Why is that disappointing?: ©  GIPHY/Paramount+ The U.S. economy added 150,000 jobs in October, falling short of the 170,000-job estimate economists had predicted. The unemployment rate also ticked up to 3.9 percent after economists had expected it would remain steady at 3.8 percent. (The Hill) ➤  HEADLINES ON THE ECONOMY: 'Consumer sentiment has become gloomier, but the overall economic picture remains bright': The New York Times 'Hiring Slowdown First Warning Sign of Cooling Economy': The Wall Street Journal 'The world economy is defying gravity. That cannot last': "Threats abound, including higher-for-longer interest rates" The Economist 'US Stocks Rise After October Jobs Data': Barron's ⛑️In the Middle East Israeli soldiers arrived in Gaza City:  ©  AP Israel's military has entered Gaza City to fight the Palestinian militant group Hamas.  What to expect: "Soldiers will have to fight house-by-house in some instances and enter the vast network of booby-trapped tunnels underneath the city if they want to completely destroy Hamas, which is the stated objective of Israel. Already, at least 18 Israeli soldiers have been killed, according to the military." (The Hill) ➤  ISRAEL'S BLOWBACK FOR HITTING A REFUGEE CAMP: The deadly strikes have sparked anger among human rights groups and Arab countries, raising questions about war crimes and about Israel's military strategy. What's the difference between a pause and a cease-fire?: 💡A pause is temporary and localized to help civilians and foreign nationals leave or receive aid. A cease-fire is an agreement on both sides to stop fighting and negotiate. NewsNation has a helpful explainer if you want more details. President Biden called for a pause in the fighting between Israel and Hamas to allow "time to get the prisoners out."   In what context?: A heckler confronted Biden at a 200-person fundraiser Wednesday, calling for a cease-fire.   Biden also told the heckler: "I'm the guy that convinced Bibi to call for a cease-fire to let the prisoners out. I'm the guy that talked to Sisi to convince him to open the door," referring to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, respectively.   But let's be clear — that's not a cease-fire: The White House says it would consider supporting a "pause" for humanitarian aid, but it has resisted pressure from progressives to support a cease-fire.   14 Senate Democrats are calling for a short-term 'cessation of hostilities' to provide humanitarian aid for civilians.   Who?: Sens. Tim Kaine (Va.), Mark Warner (Va.), Dick Durbin (Ill.), Ed Markey (Mass.), Jeff Merkley (Ore.), Tammy Duckworth (Ill.), Peter Welch (Vt.), Elizabeth Warren (Mass.), Cory Booker (N.J.), Chris Murphy (Conn.), Chris Van Hollen (Md.), Tina Smith (Minn.), Jeanne Shaheen (N.H.) and Amy Klobuchar (Minn.).   Their reasoning: "The failure to adequately protect non-combatant civilians risks dramatic escalation of the conflict in the region and imposes severe damage on prospects for peaceful coexistence between Israelis and Palestinians." Read the full statement   Have any of these senators called for a cease-fire?: Durbin, the second-highest ranking Democrat in the Senate, said Thursday a cease-fire might be appropriate in the Israel-Hamas war *if* all of the hostages are released. More from Durbin   18 House members have called for a cease-fire, according to NPR: NPR's Danielle Kurtzleben explains how "young progressive Democrats are splitting from the party on Israel." More on the divide in the Democratic Party   FWIW: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said "no" to any pause in fighting until Hamas releases the hostages. ➤  WOULD ISRAEL AGREE TO A PAUSE?:   Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said "no" to any pause in fighting until Hamas releases the hostages.   ➤  ISRAEL'S BLOWBACK FOR HITTING A REFUGEE CAMP: "The House approved a resolution Thursday condemning the support of Hamas, Hezbollah and other terrorist organizations at higher education institutions, a rebuke of the uproar that has taken place at college campuses in the wake of Hamas's attack on Israel last month." (The Hill)   The vote: 396-23   Read the resolution 🗳 ️In Congress All this talk of the 14th amendment: ©  GIPHY/Northern Ireland Lawsuits are trying to bar former President Trump from appearing on 2024 presidential ballots, arguing that he aided in an insurrection on Jan. 6, 2021, and is therefore ineligible. OK, but what does the 14th amendment say?: Section 3 of the 14th amendment says that no person can be president if they "have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof."    Where?: Proceedings are ongoing in Colorado and began in the Minnesota Supreme Court on Thursday. There are efforts in other states that are still in early states, reports The Hill's Niall Stanage.   Could Trump *actually* be barred from running in those states?: It's possible. The effort is picking up speed.   Stanage explains what to know about these cases, including what could happen if Trump is barred from those ballots. Basically, chaos could ensue. Btw: Rep. Ken Buck (R-Colo.) testified in the Colorado case Thursday. 🐝 Internet Buzz 🥪🍭🍩 Celebrate: We have a star lineup. Today is National Sandwich Day, Saturday is National Candy Day and Sunday is National Doughnut Day! Here's a list of sandwich deals today (!)   🕺 The talk of TikTok: There's a filter on TikTok that will place a dancing skeleton somewhere in your room. Some are small, some are big, but they're all dancing to Prince and The Revolution. This skeleton has moves Oh, hello there Here's another This skeleton was hiding No, THIS ONE was hiding Why is this skeleton so close?! 🐀 Getting traction — New York City is back, baby: @TBPInvictus posted a video of a person in a rat costume carrying a giant slice of pizza through a Subway station. "People insist on comparing other cities to NY. It's a fool's errand, especially around Halloween," the caption reads. The video has 5.2 million views so far.   Writer Laura Bassett pointed out the best part: "The guy that climbs over the rail to avoid the giant pizza rat and never even glances back makes the whole thing." I have been laughing at this all morning. 🗓 On The Agenda The House was in this morning. The Senate is out. President Biden is in Maine this afternoon, and Vice President Harris is in Los Angeles. (all times Eastern) 12:40 p.m.: Biden leaves for Lewiston, Maine. 3:45 p.m.: Biden and first lady Jill Biden meet with first responders in the aftermath of last week's mass shooting. Biden will then deliver remarks at 4:15 p.m. and then meet with families. 📺 Livestream 7:20 p.m.: The Bidens leave for Rehoboth Beach, Del. Sunday: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will appear on NBC's "Meet the Press." 3 p.m. Monday: The Senate returns. Monday's agenda 👋 And Finally… Because you made it this far, here's a bunny with serious moves Stay Engaged Send comments, story ideas and events for our radar to cmartel@thehill.com. A friend forward this to you? Subscribe here.   View past issues of 12:30 Report here and check out other newsletters from The Hill here. See you next time! 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