It's no secret that 2024 is shaping up to be a tough year for Senate Democrats. They're defending more than twice as many seats as Republicans are, including in a handful of GOP-leaning states. What's more, at least one Democratic incumbent, Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.), is retiring, and there are questions about whether others will do the same.
Here's a quick look at the eight Senate seats that appear most likely to change party hands in 2024:
Arizona: Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.) is facing challenges from both sides after she left the Democratic Party to become an Independent. A three-way race could give Republicans a better chance to flip the seat.
Michigan: Stabenow's retirement gives Republicans an open seat to target, while Democrats still have to figure out who they want to succeed the longtime senator.
Montana: Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) hasn't yet said whether he will run for reelection in 2024. At the same time, Montana isn't exactly a swing state. Trump carried it in 2020 by more than 16 points, while Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.) won reelection that same year by 10 points.
Nevada: Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) is facing her first reelection bid in the state that played host to one of the closest Senate contests in the country last year.
Ohio: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) won reelection in 2018 in a state that has lurched to the right in recent years. But Ohio has only continued to move toward Republicans since then, and Brown likely has a steep challenge ahead.
Pennsylvania: Democrats may have pulled out a win in Pennsylvania's 2022 Senate race, but the state's a perennial battleground that is sure to be a top priority for both parties come 2024, when Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) will face reelection.
West Virginia: Like Tester, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) hasn't said whether he will run for reelection in 2022. If he decides to retire, it would almost certainly take the seat out of play for Democrats, given West Virginia's deep-red hue.
Wisconsin: Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) will face reelection in another perennial battleground where voters just reelected Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.), a conservative Trump ally, in November.
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